Hello and welcome back to week two, the week when we get to celebrate all football and have a normal week, with college football Saturdays, and NFL Sundays.
What’s that? You have a tingling sensation just thinking about it? Don’t worry, that’s not just arousal (unlike that time in 6th grade when you got a rando-boner in Ms. Callahan’s class and then had to go solve the problem in front of your entire math class… People don’t forget, Elliott), that’s the feeling of everything being right in the world.
Now, before we move forward into this joyous occasion, we always have to reflect on what we learned last week:
- The SEC is dead…. LOLOLOL
- Hugh Freeze is a true football legend, and will do whatever it takes to coach/lose by 24
- Transfer quarterbacks can be dominant and will help carry plenty of teams this year (except Mizzou… woof)
- Big Nix Energy is a real thing, even if his stat line is terrible, and
- America’s favorite Coach O is officially a spread offense guy
Now, I’m not trying to toot college football’s horn too heavily right now, as I do that enough the rest of the year, BUT this week’s match-ups feature a couple of the best Week two match-ups that I have ever seen.
21 Syracuse at Maryland – 12:00 on ESPN
LINE: MD -1 – O/U: 58.5
Wait. We’re leading off this week of great games with a look at the Maryland Terrapins and Syracuse Orange game?
HUHHHH?! *Chris Berman voice*
Yes, yes, we are. And the reason is because this has been one of the craziest lines to every person on the internet. Syracuse and Dino Babers have completely reshaped the Cuse program and have the Orange with more juice than OJ before the trial.
BUT you don’t just roll into Terrapin Stadium and walk away with a win a week after they beat Howard by 79 points. *total sarcasm*
Honestly though, everybody is piling on against the Terps, and saying that there is no way this line makes sense. How could Maryland possibly be favored against Cuse? I’ll tell you how, because Vegas knows that the Terps are going to win.
Josh Jackson is the quarterback Terps fans have craved for so long, and is the medicine they needed to recover from having literally every quarterback on their roster get injured in recent years. If he stays healthy, this Maryland team will be good enough for a third-place finish in the Big Ten East, and unless something crazy happens, he will win this game.
FINAL BET: Maryland -1
Cincinnati at 5 Ohio State – 12:00 on ABC
LINE: OSU -15.5 – O/U: 52.5
The next chapter in our story 📖
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) September 5, 2019
No Urban Meyer to forget things throughout the season? No problem! New transfer Justin Fields looked like a certified star last week as he absolutely dominated in the Buckeyes opener against FAU, and the rolled to a huge win.
This week though, a whole pack of bearcats is rolling into Columbus with eyes on tearing him apart, in what will be known as the “Battle for Ohio” (unless you’re talking to some Ohio Bobcats or Toledo Rockets fans). Also, adding more hope for Cincy fans is the fact that they looked really good in a battle with Chip Kelly’s UCLA squad.
The problem? This ain’t UCLA’s squad, and this ain’t the week to be a bearcats fan.
Justin Fields, JK Dobbins, and the Buckeyes BEVY of wide receivers are going to smack this Cincy team so hard they won’t come to for a few days. And I’m sorry, but I don’t care how great the day went on the offensive side against UCLA, those Cali boys can’t play defense like they do at the Ohio State University (even if it seriously hurts me to say that).
Need even more data than the eye test?
Alright, well in these two teams last three meetings, Ohio State is 3-0 against the Bearcats, and even better they are 3-0 ATS. Additionally, the Buckeyes are averaging over 250 rushing yards per game in those three meetings, a trend I expect them to build on heavily in this matchup.
This one is easy, don’t overthink it. Take the Buckeyes to win huge.
FINAL BET: OSU -15.5
12 Texas A&M at 1 Clemson – 3:30 on ABC
LINE: Clemson -17 – O/U: 63.5
Jimbo Fisher left the ACC a little relieved that he didn’t have to play Dabo again…. Until he realized he would have to play him the next two years… woof. But even still, some analysts are big on A&M this week.
Think through last year, and you’ll see why. A&M lost by only two points to the future College Football Champions when they came into College Station. Additionally, the Aggies D stayed firm (hey-o!!) against Travis Etienne and largely silenced one of the best backs in the country.
Also, Trevor Lawrence and the Clemson offense looked a little sluggish in their start against Georgia Tech (which included two interceptions). BUT everyone who says that seems to have forgotten that Clemson STILL put up over 50 points last week. Unfortunately for SEC fans, there will not be a championship hangover for this team. There is just too much talent on offense, and their line is just too good, and they will prove all of that today.
I know what you’re all thinking now. “Okay well that’s great and all, but there’s no way the Tigers can actually cover against the Aggies with this huge spread.”
YOU ARE CORRECT. And why do you ask? Simple, Kellen Mond is an amazing quarterback and Jimbo Fisher always plays Dabo close. Think through their battles over what seemed like a century while Jimbo was at Florida State. Even when Jimbo had a far more inferior team in terms of talent, he would keep it within 10.
Need some more motivation? Okay, how about the fact that A&M are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, and that they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in week 2. Additionally, while Clemson is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in the month of September.
This one will be closer than 17 points. Hammer that line.
FINAL BET: Texas A&M +17
6 LSU at 9 Texas – 7:30 on ABC
LINE: LSU -6.5 – O/U: 57
It’s time to leave home.
It's time to grow up.
It's time to go out and make a legacy of your own.
— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) September 6, 2019
This game is the one with the biggest story lines of the week as Coach O and his new spread offense affiliated bayou bengals are rolling into Austin looking to make a statement against Tom Herman and a Texas team who regularly claims that “they are back,” and who have sparked loads of trash talk by claiming they’re the real DBU (totally negating the lack of top tier DB draft picks Texas has had over the past ten years).
Want more intrigue? What about the fact the a few years back Tom Herman was LSU’s top choice as a new coach instead of their then-interim head coach, Ed Oregeron. Herman ended up scorning the Tigers to come to Austin and coach the Horns, and the rest is history. Though, I think it’s worth noting that I don’t think either fan base is disappointed with how that all turned out.
Truthfully, I love the new offense that LSU has implemented and think it will really help them against teams in the SEC West like Alabama (Yes, I think that their old style of just consistently running the ball straight up the middle against Bama was terrible, shocker!). That said, Texas matches up well against that style of offense, because they consistently defend that style week in and week out in the Big 12, even though they also consistently give up a lot of points… *shrug emoji*.
Regardless of that match-up, I think this will come down to the other side of the ball, and the number of takeaways that the REAL DBU can get against this Texas offense. Listen, Sam Ehlinger may be good, but besides playing Georgia’s unmotivated backup squad in the Sugar Bowl last year, he ain’t played against a real defense, something only the SEC and select other teams can provide. He may put up some decent numbers, but I’m looking for this LSU squad to keep him in check, and for them to force some takeaways to bring this one home by ten.
Hold that Tiger.
FINAL BET: LSU -6.5
And there you have it folks. This should be one HELL of a week, and a great day for all of us to relax and watch some football. As always, best of luck to your teams and to your wallets, and Go Dawgs!