Welcome back to week three. Everyone who reads this blog knows that I am all about the greatness of college football, but if we’re being honest here this week is not a proper way to celebrate.
Last week, we had some amazing top-tier match-ups in which Power 5 Conferences attacked one another in what turned out to be pure entertainment. This week, we don’t have any top-25 match-ups at all.
This is like in 10th grade when you had that amazing dream where you were going out with a chick that mirrored Wendy Peffercorn, but you soon woke up to your alarm clock shrieking at you and you realized that the only shot you have at going to the Sadie Hawkins Dance is to take Ingrid from your fourth period science class…. WOOF.
Now, if we’re being honest though this is when some of the greatest moments in college football tend to happen, and when we usually see some wild finishes and great upsets. So there is some fun to look forward to.
Before we get into all of that though, as always, we must reflect on all that we learned last week:
- The state of Texas hates Joe Burrow more than any man since they won their independence,
- Army is always up for a fight (‘Merica baby), and scheduling them is STUPID,
- Nebraska wasn’t ready for a return to prominence as it is indeed not the 80’s,
- Jimbo Fisher plays for the backdoor cover, and
- Orange crushes are the Terps fans favorite drinks (no really, look it up).
Now on to all of the fun I talked about us having previously. Seriously folks, anything can happen so let’s make this September cupcake week some fun.
6 Ohio State at Indiana – 12:00 on FOX
LINE: OSU -17.5 – O/U: 59.5
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) September 12, 2019
Justin Fields has been an absolute MENACE since lacing it up for the Buckeyes this year, and has been causing problems all over the field for opposing defenses. Last week, it was supposed to be a tough game for them as they went to play against Cincinnati, and what happened?
Oh, that’s right, Fields torched the Bearcats for four total touchdowns as the Buckeyes had the game wrapped up before the bands even started to break a sweat while carrying their tubas out for the halftime show.
Now the Bucks roll into Indiana, where they have had some issues in recent memory. Sure, they are 10-0 in their last 10 games against the Hoosiers, BUT they are only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. Also, I am shuddering while thinking about 2012 when OSU dodged a bullet and pulled out a win from the claws of defeat.
So you’d think I would take the Hoosiers and the points right? NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND
Sure, the Buckeyes have had their problems in the past, but you know what they didn’t have in the past? These WEAPONS at their arsenal. Ryan Day is rolling out Justin Fields, JK Dobbins, an incredible O-line, and enough receivers that it really doesn’t matter where Fields turns, he’s going to put up the numbers.
Because of this, I have no fear with OSU and fully expect them to blow the Hoosiers.
FINAL BET: Buckeyes -17.5
2 Alabama at South Carolina – 3:30 on CBS
LINE: Alabama -25.5 – O/U: 61.5
The Tide rolls into the biggest hell-hole in the country today when they have to travel to Columbia, SC. Is my bias showing? I honestly don’t care. Columbia is a place that smells like hot garbage and lingers with the kind of despair you can only find in a city that wishes with everything it has that it could be Athens.
That said, the last time the Tide went into this dumpster fire of environment, the mix of the smell, sandstorm played at unbearable levels of volume, and a guy named Stephen Garcia (absolute legend, don’t care if he’s a Cock) proved to be far too much for ole Saban and company, as South Carolina gave them a cock-smacking they would never forget.
As for how Saban feels about it?
Nick Saban remembers the 2010 loss to South Carolina. 😂 pic.twitter.com/Ca6XUdovdh
— PFF College (@PFF_College) September 13, 2019
Atta boy, Nick. Go out there and act like you’re not thinking about it. We all know that deep down you lose your mind every time you hear Sandstorm, and that the sight of Stephen Garcia will give you chills.
I think Saban hasn’t forgotten it at all, and I think that loss still pisses him off. I think that Saban is also pissed about people calling out Bama for their weak schedule this past week. Oh you didn’t see that clip? Don’t worry here ya go!
— Troy Trojans Football ⚔️ (@TroyTrojansFB) September 11, 2019
(Great troll job by Troy though).
You mix an angry Saban with the fact that Garcia ain’t lacing them up and making plays out there on that field, and what do you get?
A big ole ass whooping from the Tide. I think Bama runs away with this one, and continues to pile it on due to Saban’s cold, bitter heart. Don’t worry though Carolina fans, you’ll probably still see Garcia passed out drunk on a table somewhere with a bottle of Cuervo in his hand.
FINAL BET: Alabama -25.5
Florida State at 25 Virginia – 7:30 on ACC Network
LINE: Virginia -7.5 – O/U: 57.5
2️⃣4️⃣ hours until kickoff ⏳ Hoos ready? 🏈👀💪
— Virginia Football (@UVAFootball) September 13, 2019
Willie Taggart and company will not have the Florida heat and lack of conditioning to blame for a loss this time around, but they will be sure to make headlines in a place that is well known for making controversial news.
On the Virginia side, Bronco Mendenhall and company are rolling after big wins against Pitt and William and Mary (don’t sleep on the tribe). This is in large part due to their average of over 170 rushing yards per game. The good news for them? They get to go up against a team that has given up an average of 214 rushing yards per game, and one that has their defense on the field an average of over 40 minutes per game. I fully expect UVA to utilize this to their advantage, and for them to own the game clock as they push this Florida State team around.
Is that not enough? Okay, here’s a little nugget of more information that you may enjoy. Florida State is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against ACC opponents and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in October. As for Virginia? They are 7-1 in their last 8 games played in September and are 5-2 in their last 7 games against ACC opponents.
All of this leans heavily on the Cavaliers, so lay it on em!
FINAL BET: Virginia -7.5
5 Oklahoma at UCLA – 8:00 on FOX
LINE: Oklahoma -23.5 – O/U: 72
Oklahoma takes the Boomer Sooner wagon back across the prairie to LA and enters the Rose Bowl for the second time in a few years. Did I pick to write about this game just to bring that up and to bring up how great the 2018 Rose Bowl was for me? Maybeeeee…… :).
Okay of course I did, but in all honesty, I actually like the line for this game a LOT. Oklahoma has NOT covered once in either week of this season, which has pissed off a ton of people. Sure, they have gone the hell off with people like Jalen Hurts balling out in Lincoln Riley’s system like nobody could have ever predicted (except like I don’t know, everyone with a brain?), but they have not covered.
As insane as that is, this is the game when they turn it all around. You know why? Cause this UCLA team is absolutely abysmal. Their defense is giving up 417 yards total per game, including 175 per game on the ground. How’s that match up with the OU offense? Oh, pretty good, they’re just averaging 354 rushing YPG, and 332 through the air.
Okay, well Chip Kelly is the coach, so the UCLA offense must be tearing it up at least right? WRONG. They are averaging a measly 156 YPG through the air and 62 YPG on the ground. WOOF. This is going to be a bloodbath.
Even adding more fuel to the fire, UCLA is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in Week 3, and 0-5 straight up in their last 5 games played in September. As for the Sooners, they are 11-0 straight up in their last 11 games played in September and have put up massive numbers in their last three matches against UCLA, including 49 points and 485 yards last year.
I expect it to be the same, and for Boomer Sooner to keep rolling through this weekend.
FINAL BET: Oklahoma -23.5
And there it is. While the match-ups may be lackluster on paper this week, you must never underestimate the greatness of a college football Saturday, where anything can happen. It will be another great Saturday, so go grab a cold beer, lay back on the couch, and have a blast.
As always, best of luck to your teams and to your wallets, and Go Dawgs!