Hello and welcome back,
Somehow, someway, after what was one of the worst losses in Georgia football history, I am alive, as I did not do as much damage to my liver as was thought would happen after that Dawgs loss.
Thank you to everyone who was praying for me. You and God worked a miracle on this one.
Unfortunately, we must always reflect on last week before we move forward, and here is what we learned:
- The Georgia Bulldogs are not elite,
- It doesn’t matter how many injuries they have, Saban’s tide keeps rolling,
- Those Horns fight hard, but still get thrown down,
- LSU’s offense is the real deal, and
- Somehow Baylor might be good again? Maybe?
Okay so last week is dead. Gone FOREVER. DO NOT BRING IT UP AGAIN,OKAY?! Thanks, guys.
Thankfully we have plenty to look forward to this week with three top-25 match-ups, so let’s give it a look!
12 Oregon at 25 Washington – 3:30 on ABC
LINE: Oregon -3 – O/U:48
Ducks are flying north for the winter as our first real taste of colder weather is finally setting in. However, a really great pack of Huskies will be looking to yell go dawgs while stifling Justin Herbert and that quack attack.
It will be tough to do though, as the Ducks are putting up 36 PPG and sprinkling over 450 YPG on top of that. But on the other side, the Huskies are no slouches, putting up as they are almost an equal match in every category.
Additionally, y’all know that there is nothing quite like a home dog in college football, especially when they have a legend like Jacob Eason on their squad. I expect him to allow that crowd to get behind him as he slings the ball all over the field.
As for trends, Oregon is 12-2-1 ATS in their last 15 games against Washington, including 5-1 ATS their last six games AT Washington, BUT, in the last three matchups, Washington is actually 2-1 ATS against Oregon. Also, Washington is ROLLING this season as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five. That is quite the heater and, if you mix it with them being home dogs, it’s something I can’t pass up.
Gotta go with those dawgs.
FINAL BET: Washington +3
17 Arizona State at 13 Utah – 6:00 on PAC-12
LINE: Utah -14 – O/U: 46.5
Hern Edwards has done the unthinkable and has turned the haters of Arizona State into believers.
I don’t know if it’s the close win on the road against a lackluster at best Michigan State team or if it’s just the attitude that he brings to the table, but either way it feels really good.
On the other end, Utah is forever my “let down team” (other than Georgia), because just when you think they look like they’ll be the team to beat in the Pac-12 they have a huge let down which is always miserable. I’m sorry Utes, that’s just what you’re known for.
As for the trends in this game, it is all over the board. Arizona State is just 2-4 ATS in their last six games against Utah (4-4 in the last eight), BUT they’re also 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. Meanwhile, Utah is just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
That mixed with my feelings on a let down game makes me believe you have to lay it on the line for the Fun Devils, even if it is begrudgingly, because 14 points is a lot.
FINAL BET: ARIZONA STATE +14
16 Michigan at 7 Penn State – 7:30 on ABC
LINE: Penn State -8 – O/U: 46.5
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) October 16, 2019
The mighty James Franklin’s have been DOMINATING this year as they are scoring 47 PPG and over 500 YPG including more than 300 per game in the air.
It doesn’t stop there though, as their defense has been incredible as well and has allowed fewer than EIGHT points per game.
You may be one of the haters that say “they ain’t played nobody Pawwwl.” But here’s a reality check… they ain’t playing nobody this week either. This Michigan team has gone through monumental let down after monumental let down and it won’t stop today.
Hell, this Michigan team almost blew a huge lead to ILLINOIS last week. Sure, they ended up winning by 17, but on paper they should’ve won by 40. Things are not trending well for the Wolverines.
Want some more reasons to for the Nittany Lions today? How about the fact that they’re 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in October and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games played in Week 8. As for Michigan? Oh, they’re just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
Yup, hammer that line for State.
FINAL BET: PENN STATE -8
And there you have it folks! Another week of great college football action and of me hoping and praying the Dawgs don’t break my heart yet again. As always, best of luck to all of your teams and your wallets!