Hello and welcome back to yet another great weekend of celebrating the best sport in America.
This week is shaping up to be an excellent slate, under which we will get a lot more clarity in the College Football Playoff picture. Not only do we have three Top-25 match ups, but we also have two of the top three teams playing teams ranked in the Top-15, and your boy gets to relax as the Dawgs are on a bye!
But before we get into all that, we must always reflect upon what we learned last week:
- Baylor may actually be legit,
- Mizzou wasn’t ready to be ranked,
- Wisconsin wasn’t up for a fight against the Illini (who kept jumping around the field),
- Bama’s backup QB is Mac Jones and
- Minnesota is good at football again?
Now that we got that out of the way, let’s dive on in!
13 Wisconsin at 3 Ohio State – 12:00 on FOX
LINE: Ohio State -14.5 – O/U: 48.5
We didn't come here to talk. We came here to uphold tradition. We came here to leave a legacy.
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) October 24, 2019
This pack of badgers looked more like a pack of frauds last week as they learned it’s not all Champaign showers when you go into Illinois.
Unfortunately, it doesn’t get any easier for these guys as they now have to go into one of the biggest stadiums in America and face an Ohio State team that has been absolutely dominant as they have relentlessly cast aside their opponents.
Here is where I would give my usual run down of how good Justin Fields is, but if you’ve read any of my previous columns you know that already. Instead I’ll just say that Wisconsin had trouble stopping Illinois’ run game last week…. it ain’t getting any easier today. Expect Fields and company to run all over the place and make this a very tough game for the Badgers.
For Badgers fans, I’m not just picking on y’all trust me. The trends are not in your favor either. Not only is Ohio State is 6-0 ATS in their last six games, but they are also 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a Big 10 opponent. Wisconsin on the other hand is 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on the road against Ohio State, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall games against Ohio State.
Sorry Badgers, you gotta go with the Buckeyes.
FINAL BET: OHIO STATE -14.5
9 Auburn at 2 LSU – 3:30 on CBS
LINE: LSU -10 – O/U: 58
When your moment comes. When your name is called.
When time is running out and everything rests on your
Will you crumble?
Or will you rise? pic.twitter.com/Z9N3JVnI62
— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) October 24, 2019
Big Nix Energy is alive and well today as the tigers take on the tigers. The great thing is that I can make a guarantee…
I guarantee the Tigers pull out a win in this game.
Now, the real question is which tigers? Well, fortunately for the great people of Louisiana, Joe Burrow has looked unstoppable and has been putting up passing efficiency numbers that are so great they have old-school LSU alums more confused than when they see someone trying to eat a crawdad with a fork.
On the other hand, Bo Nix has looked… like a freshman. Sorry, I’m just being honest. He shows streaks of where he can play well, but when he played against a good defense in Florida he clammed up and looked like he was stuck in quick sand. This will continue this week against DBU.
Besides quarterback play, the trends in this game don’t look good for the guys from Auburn. LSU is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games played against an opponent in the SEC, AND LSU is 12-2-1 ATS in their last 15 games played in October. Meanwhile, Auburn is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games versus LSU.
Expect this to continue and for Joe Burrow to put up some serious numbers on the way to victory.
Hold that tiger.
FINAL BET: LSU -10
8 Notre Dame at 19 Michigan – 7:30 on ABC
LINE: EVEN – O/U: 50
I hate this game so much. I hate even lines and I hate the fact that I have bet wrong on Michigan THREE TIMES this season. Even when the outcome has been right, I’ve just missed the line. Hopefully, that all ends this week.
Truthfully, this Notre Dame team has surprised me this year as they’ve played extremely well, and even made it close in their lone loss on the road in Athens (some would argue they were also the better team for more than half of that game, and I wouldn’t disagree).
As a part of this, Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last five games. An even deeper dive would show you that Notre Dame is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games played in October. Looking good for the Irish.
On the other hand, Michigan has looked consistently bad in a lot of games this year, and they have flip flopped quarterbacks which we all know does wonders for offenses. How bad has it been? Michigan is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Additionally, diving deeper on this side, Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last five games played in Week 9.
I’m sure this will be another thing that blows up in my face but I just can’t go with the Blue today. Go Irish.
FINAL BET: NOTRE DAME EVEN
Well there you have it folks, and here we have yet another weekend of great games in front of us. As always, best of luck to all of you and to your wallets and Go Dawgs!