What’s up and welcome back to another week of college football, and this week, I hope y’all love dessert, cause it’s SEC cupcake week.
But in all reality we all know that this shouldn’t be called “cupcake week.” It should be called the week where most SEC team plays the same type of team Clemson plays every week!
Ahh now that we got that out of the way, let’s once again reflect upon five things we learned this week:
- Michigan State is back to being little brother,
- Minnesota and Baylor ain’t looking like Cinderella no more,
- Clemson still ain’t played nobody,
- The Dawgs stay on top (or the east at least), and
- Tua’s career is over but the way he changed Bama and the SEC will leave an impact that will last for generations.
A lot was learned, but this week will help us to solve the puzzle that is the college football playoff even more, so let’s take a look.
8 Penn State at 2 Ohio State at 12:00 on FOX
LINE: Ohio State -18.5 – O/U: 57.5
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) November 21, 2019
The Nittany Lions are riding into the Horseshoe to take on the Buckeyes at high noon. Yes. You heard that right. The absolute marquee matchup of this week is happening at fucking noon. It makes ZERO sense to me, but we have to roll with it.
That said, I have been less than impressed by this Penn State team. Sure, their only loss is to a good Minnesota team, but otherwise, no wins even look great. Also, as discussed with my good friend Tayls recently, Sean Clifford’s throws make no sense. He literally just lobs it up like a touch pass every time, something Minnesota capitalizes on and something this Buckeyes defense will also capitalize on.
On the other side of the ball, you have a Penn State defense that looked shook versus Minnesota and Indiana. The bad news for the Nittany Lions? Minnesota’s electric offense is minuscule in comparison to Ohio State, who will have receivers flying all over the place while Justin Fields will make it rain and JK Dobbins will be slicing them up like a hot knife through butter.
Need some more info to push you over the edge? No problem. How about the fact that the Buckeyes are 8-2 against the Lions in their last 10 games and that they are 8-2 ATS this year? Yep. That does it. Hammer that line.
FINAL BET: Ohio State -18.5
Texas A&M at 4 Georgia on CBS
LINE: Georgia -13 – O/U: 44
— Georgia Football (@GeorgiaFootball) November 22, 2019
Jimbo Fisher and Texas A&M are heading into the greatest college football city in the whole damn country, for the first time in their short lived SEC life. It may rain, but I fully expect the Dawgs faithful to give Kellen Mond and co. a game to remember.
As for the actual game between the Hedges, I expect it to be a great match up for the Georgia defense, as they have looked like world beaters this year.
The offense may struggle though, as they have looked pretty lackluster this year, and A&M has a really good defense which has held numerous opponents to minimal points, including keeping Clemson in check earlier this season.
This all mixes up for a great recipe for the under. Don’t think so? What if I sprinkle in the fact that the under is 8-2 for Georgia this season and that Texas A&M road unders are 2-0 this year. Yep, lay it on the under!
FINAL BET: UNDER 44
TCU at 9 Oklahoma at 8:00 on FOX
LINE: Oklahoma -18 – O/U: 64
Backs against the wall, we came out swingin'… 😈👊
— TCU Football (@TCUFootball) November 20, 2019
Oklahoma welcomes this pack of frogs that will be real horned up as they strive to lodge another upset on their belt for this year, and to gain bowl eligibility.
However, this Oklahoma team will be feeling rejuvenated and like they have another shot at life after they came back from a 28-3 deficit at Baylor (toughest lead in football though).
While some think this could be a good hangover game, I don’t agree. I have full faith that Oklahoma will come out and put it on TCU early, and a lot of that revolves around the fact that Oklahoma will have CeeDee Lamb back to play for them, who was out last week.
However, I also think that TCU’s offense, which averages over 32 points per game and almost 450 YPG will have some great opportunities to put up points against this Oklahoma defense which gives up over 350 YPG. Because of that this over is looking GOOD, and we all know there is nothing like a Big 12 over.
Need more fuel? How about the fact that TCU has hit the over in six of their last seven conference games and that the over in Oklahoma’s four home games this season is 4-0? That’s pretty good! Roll with that over!
FINAL BET: OVER 64
There you have it, another week of the greatest sport in the world. Truly, some people may be upset that I didn’t pick enough spreads and hit an over and an under, and if that’s the case, then you should go and throw money on Arkansas +43 (Joe Burrow won’t play in the second half and Arkansas is 7-3 ATS), but otherwise, you should just sit back and enjoy another epic week.
As always, best of luck to each of your teams, and to your wallets, and Go Dawgs!